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GBP/USD Daily Forecast - 21 March

Tuesday, Mar 20 2018
GBP/USD Daily Forecast - 21 March

Yesterday's session brought UK CPI and PPI figures. The Consumer Prices Index including owner occupiers’ housing costs (CPIH) 12-month inflation rate was 2.5% in February 2018, down from 2.7% in January 2018. The largest downward contributions to the change in the rate came from transport and food prices, which rose by less than a year ago. Falling prices for accommodation services also had a downward effect. Rising prices for footwear produced the largest, partially offsetting, upward contribution. The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) 12-month rate was 2.7% in February 2018, down from 3.0% in January 2018.

The headline rate of inflation for goods leaving the factory gate (output prices) was 2.6% on the year to February 2018, down from 2.8% in January 2018. Prices for materials and fuels (input prices) rose 3.4% on the year to February 2018, down from 4.5% in January 2018. All industries provided upward contributions to output annual inflation; the largest contribution was made by food products. Crude oil continued to provide the largest upward contribution to the input annual inflation, despite providing the largest downward contribution on the month.

 

Focus of the tomorrow's session will be on UK job figures. No change is expected in Unemployment Rate. In the US session focus will be on FOMC interest rate decision as well as following press conference with analysts expecting interest rate hike to 1.75%.

 

Figures to watch:

 

Federal Funds Rate/FOMC Press Conference (Wednesday 19:30)

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