EUR/USD Daily Forecast - 16 March

From Eurozone, yesterday, only Final French CPI figures were released. In February 2018, the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) was unchanged, following a –0.1% downturn in January. Food prices barely edged down (−0.1%), in the wake of fresh product prices. Those of “manufactured product” decreased again, but less markedly than in January (−0.3% after −2.2%). Services prices slowed down for the second consecutive month (+0.1% after +0.2%). Lastly, energy prices were stable, the decrease in petroleum product prices being offset by a rise in gas and electricity prices. Read more...

GBP/USD Daily Forecast - 16 March

Focus of the yesterday's session was again on Brexit developments. David Davis, the Brexit secretary, has said he “could live with” a 21-month transition period as Britain leaves the EU. He made the concession, demanded by commission negotiators, with EU talks in Brussels a week away. Davis told BBC Newsnight: “I’m not bothered too much about the question of whether it is Christmas 2020 or Easter 2021.” He said that getting a deal at next week’s council was “more important to me than a few months either way”. Read more...

AUD/USD Daily Forecast - 16 March

From Australia, yesterday, MI Inflation Expectation figures were released. The Australian Dollar didn’t show much enthusiasm for the Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research inflation survey. There, price expectations for the next 12 months are anchored at 3.7%, higher than the 3.6% reported outcome back in February. However, even if participants foresee higher prices in the near-term, the Reserve Bank of Australia has a clear message for everyone. Earlier this month, the central bank reiterated that holding the stance of monetary policy unchanged is the way to go. With that in mind, the RBA probably won’t act on today’s survey.


EUR/USD Daily Forecast - 15 March

From Eurozone, yesterday, Industrial Production data was released. In January 2018 compared with December 2017, seasonally adjusted industrial production fell by 1.0% in the euro area (EA19) and by 0.7% in the EU28. The decrease of 1.0% in industrial production in the euro area in January 2018, compared with December 2017, is due to production of energy falling by 6.6%, durable consumer goods by 1.9% and intermediate goods by 1.0%, while production of capital goods rose by 1.2% and non-durable consumer goods by 0.1%. In the EU28, the decrease of 0.7% is due to production of energy falling by 3.3%, durable consumer goods by 1.4%, intermediate goods by 0.6% and non-durable consumer goods by 0.3%, while production of capital goods rose by 1.2%. Read more...

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